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Aleksandr Khara on Security Guarantees, China, Witkoff and Why Russia Won't Compromise

Ukrainian diplomat Aleksandr Khara on Russian imperial behavior since 1991, China's long game, Europe's role, and why the only real talks are prisoner exchanges.

My guest is Aleksandr Khara, a Ukrainian diplomat and analyst from Donetsk who has not been home since 2013. He is of Greek heritage, and he talks about Mariupol's Greek community and his people living under occupation in the villages between Donetsk and Mariupol.

Khara argues Russian behavior has been consistent since 1991, from Yuzhmash ICBMs to the reaction to the color revolutions, and that in 2014 not a single bullet came from the US or Europe. We go through China and Russia as rivals rather than allies, which partners have been reliable (the UK, the Nordics, Denmark, Poland, Japan, South Korea), and Europe's fear of being split between Putin and Trump.

On the talks run by Steve Witkoff, he uses Thomas Schelling's four ways conflicts end to argue there are no real negotiations except on prisoners, abducted children and civilians. We also cover sanctions, Orban, the Epstein files, Greenland, Yuri Bezmenov, and the Russian Orthodox Church as a Stalin-era tool of control.

Chapters

0:00 Opening and platform problems

4:02 The corruption index and Ukraine's record since 2000

6:40 Welcome Aleksandr Khara

8:15 Russia has not changed for centuries

10:24 Yuzhmash, the color revolutions and Russian behavior since 1991

11:44 Ukraine and the United States since independence

14:09 Donetsk, Mariupol's Greeks and a personal loss

17:01 How diplomacy toward Ukraine has changed

21:42 2014: not a single bullet

24:03 China and Russia: rivals, not allies

28:06 China, India and the West's blind spot

31:40 A blue ocean strategy and China's ICBMs

34:00 Who has been a reliable partner

35:57 Poland opens its doors

38:02 Heating outages and Denmark's help

39:45 The United Kingdom and the Black Sea

42:57 Japan, South Korea and the EU

45:04 Splitting Europe between Putin and Trump

46:53 When a key partner's politics shift

51:29 Does the world need a superpower?

57:00 Witkoff and the so-called negotiations

58:01 Thomas Schelling's four ways a conflict ends

1:02:38 Sanctions and the battlefield

1:05:31 Orban and Russia's Trojan horses

1:07:31 Epstein and Russian intelligence

1:08:46 Why ceasefires fail

1:10:42 Trump's peace medal and Putin as a role model

1:13:46 Greenland and the Northern Sea Route

1:17:45 Soft power, Bezmenov and the Russian Orthodox Church

1:23:24 When democracy's strengths become weaknesses

1:26:42 Ukraine as the model for confronting authoritarianism

1:28:22 Decolonizing Russia and closing

Watch on YouTube: Aleksandr Khara on Security Guarantees for Ukraine, Witkoff, China and Russia's Long War

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